Tuesday, September 20, 2011

9/20/2011

SMISE (Black): 2-4
SMISE (Red): 4-3-1
SHARP: 0-0STEAM: 9-2
SQUARE:  3-2
PERFECT: 5-4
STATFOX: 4-6

WILDCARD: 4-3
OVERALL RECORD : 31--24-1 = $442


Well I am back (FINALLY) after a nearly 1 year absence (355 days to be exact). So the record above is my 2010 record, so i will just piggyback off that for a while until I sort through and test my true committment to winning again (LOL). Remember, the key is discipline, (a lesson I learned the hard way, numerous times). Stay consistent with your wagers, 3% on all and limit yourself to 3-5 wagers per day. Don't force it if its not there just for action. So with that said, here are you winners for Tuesday September 20th, 2011.
Statfox: Mil -160 over Chi
Play ON  MILWAUKEE using the money line in All games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season
The record is 35  Wins and 9  Losses  this season (+23.15 units)

Play AGAINST  CHICAGO CUBS using the run line in Home games after a win
The record is 20  Wins and 53  Losses  for the last two seasons (-39.60 units)

MLB System

MLB
1. 10c BetCris move ovll
   1.1 Never goes below orignial line
2. 4c sharp move on BETCRIS <60%
   2.1) no sharp moves >4c at BETCRIS the wrong way
3. <60% (SBR % and Pregame)
4. Playing Well
  4.1) Won 4+ games L7 games = 1 pt
  4.2) Won 4 of L7 games + coming off loss where they scored <6 runs= 1pt
  4.3) Average of 4.5 or more runs per game L7 = 1pt
  4.4) Opponent has won 3 or fewer games L7 = 1pt
  4.5) Scored 10+ runs previous game = 1pt
  4.6) shutout; Poor offensive performances come back with a vengeance, baseball is no different.
        Teams off a shutout loss were 144-117 last season (+28 units).
5.  STEAM (go to PREGAME)
6. Systems:
   5.1) SE=Series record (play home teams for sweep, etc.)
   5.2) L3 starts, rec, vs opp, ovll, era (NY Post) (1st start vs Opponent is always an advantage)
7. Foxsheet trends (NY Post)
8. Dunkel >1 (- = not good, + equals good)